2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs
Jameson Taillon
Jameson Taillon RHP CHC
115 matchups scored · 13 game days
16 HRs Allowed
13.9% HR Rate (Pool)
25.1% Overall HR/FB
6.15 FIP
4.62 xFIP
+1.53 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.23
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
25.1%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
94th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
69.9%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
6.15
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
93th pctile
4.62
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+1.53
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
95th pctile
13.9%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
115
Pool Matchups
16
HRs Allowed (Pool)
13
Top-15 Matchups
4
HRs to Top-15
13.9%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 17 2 1 5.9% 0.5 97.0mph 110.0mph 23.0° 383ft Down -8.0pp
Last 15 26 3 3 11.5% 1.0 95.7mph 105.1mph 26.7° 380ft Down -2.4pp
Last 30 53 6 9 17.0% 1.5 97.7mph 105.4mph 30.4° 396ft Up +3.1pp
Batted-Ball Damage
93 tracked BBE from 115 pool matchups
97.0
112.4
65
0
105.7
29.6°
400
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-07 Matt Chapman 102.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-07 Casey Schmitt 101.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-07 Jung Hoo Lee 101.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-02 Nick Kurtz 110.0mph 110.0mph 23° 383ft Yes
2026-06-02 Tyler Soderstrom 107.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-02 Henry Bolte 103.3mph · · · ·
2026-06-02 Brent Rooker 101.5mph · · · ·
2026-05-27 Brandon Lowe 106.9mph 106.9mph 25° 387ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
13 days · 16 total HRs
HRs Allowed
16 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-02 Nick Kurtz #17 69 Wrigley Field 110.0mph 23.0° 383ft
2026-05-27 Brandon Lowe #13 73 PNC Park 106.9mph 25.0° 387.0ft
2026-05-27 Konnor Griffin #175 36 PNC Park 98.3mph 32.0° 369.0ft
2026-05-22 Christian Vázquez #159 35 Wrigley Field 98.6mph 35.0° 371.0ft
2026-05-16 Munetaka Murakami #1 92 Rate Field 109.0mph 36.0° 428.0ft
2026-05-16 Colson Montgomery #15 79 Rate Field 112.4mph 33.0° 442.0ft
2026-05-16 Miguel Vargas #20 76 Rate Field 108.4mph 24.0° 421.0ft
2026-05-16 Andrew Benintendi #102 47 Rate Field 106.4mph 28.0° 406.0ft
2026-05-10 Evan Carter #149 24 Globe Life Field 98.6mph 38.0° 353.0ft
2026-05-05 Nathaniel Lowe #1 83 Wrigley Field 108.1mph 23.0° 404.0ft
2026-04-29 Miguel Andujar #145 30 Petco Park 99.2mph 28.0° 387.0ft
2026-04-24 Will Smith #53 66 Dodger Stadium 103.9mph 25.0° 386.0ft
2026-04-18 Mark Vientos #177 35 Wrigley Field 110.2mph 26.0° 434.0ft
2026-04-12 Oneil Cruz #27 43 Wrigley Field 111.0mph 41.0° 422.0ft
2026-04-06 Junior Caminero #24 53 Tropicana Field 106.8mph 28.0° 401.0ft
2026-04-06 Jonathan Aranda #56 41 Tropicana Field 103.5mph 29.0° 403.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 342 28.3% +1.8 84.7 32.4° 8
Cutter 232 19.2% +0.7 82.0 27.0° 4
Sweeper 199 16.5% -1.5 78.9 22.1° 3
Changeup 184 15.2% +2.9 80.5 16.7° 5
Curveball 131 10.9% -1.3 87.2 6.0° 0
Sinker 119 9.9% +3.9 84.0 20.5° 2
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
69.9%
69.9%
All Scored Matchups
115 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-07 Daniel Susac #167 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-07 Drew Gilbert #98 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Jung Hoo Lee #85 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Matt Chapman #65 53 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Bryce Eldridge #30 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Rafael Devers #29 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Willy Adames #11 72 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-07 Casey Schmitt #2 81 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-02 Henry Bolte #240 18 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-02 Darell Hernaiz #234 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Jeff McNeil #140 41 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-06-02 Carlos Cortes #76 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Zack Gelof #73 52 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Brent Rooker #47 58 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-02 Tyler Soderstrom #34 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-02 Nick Kurtz #17 69 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-02 Shea Langeliers #12 72 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Nick Gonzales #255 19 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Esmerlyn Valdez #209 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Konnor Griffin #175 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-27 Bryan Reynolds #165 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-27 Endy Rodríguez #125 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-27 Marcell Ozuna #120 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 Spencer Horwitz #71 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 Oneil Cruz #35 66 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-27 Brandon Lowe #13 73 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-22 Christian Vázquez #159 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-22 Brice Matthews #122 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Jose Altuve #121 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 Isaac Paredes #113 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 Carlos Correa #99 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Cam Smith #98 42 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-22 Yainer Diaz #95 43 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-22 Christian Walker #31 59 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-22 Yordan Alvarez #7 74 🟡 B 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Tristan Peters #224 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Chase Meidroth #171 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-16 Andrew Benintendi #102 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-16 Jarred Kelenic #86 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Sam Antonacci #71 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-16 Miguel Vargas #20 76 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-16 Colson Montgomery #15 79 🟡 B ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-16 Drew Romo #12 82 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-16 Munetaka Murakami #1 92 🔥 A+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-10 Josh Smith #231 12 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 Evan Carter #149 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-10 Wyatt Langford #132 27 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-10 Danny Jansen #123 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Jake Burger #103 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Joc Pederson #97 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Brandon Nimmo #86 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Corey Seager #72 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Josh Jung #69 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 Tyler Stephenson #102 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Matt McLain #88 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Eugenio Suárez #79 37 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-05 TJ Friedl #69 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 Ke'Bryan Hayes #52 45 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-05 Spencer Steer #31 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 Sal Stewart #23 60 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Elly De La Cruz #2 82 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Nathaniel Lowe #1 83 🟢 A 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-29 Jake Cronenworth #238 14 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 Jackson Merrill #205 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 Fernando Tatis Jr. #204 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Freddy Fermin #197 21 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Ramón Laureano #173 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-29 Xander Bogaerts #170 26 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-29 Manny Machado #154 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-29 Miguel Andujar #145 30 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-29 Gavin Sheets #132 32 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Alex Freeland #101 55 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Hyeseong Kim #96 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Andy Pages #67 62 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Kyle Tucker #62 63 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Will Smith #53 66 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-24 Teoscar Hernández #30 73 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Freddie Freeman #21 77 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Max Muncy #15 79 🟡 B ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Shohei Ohtani #5 86 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Bo Bichette #185 33 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 Mark Vientos #177 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-18 Marcus Semien #164 37 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 Jorge Polanco #138 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Brett Baty #137 43 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 Luis Robert Jr. #122 46 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-18 Carson Benge #120 47 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-18 Francisco Lindor #110 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 Francisco Alvarez #30 70 🟡 B ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-12 Nick Gonzales #102 17 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Jared Triolo #99 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Henry Davis #95 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Joey Bart #85 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 Spencer Horwitz #75 24 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 Andrew McCutchen #60 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 Bryan Reynolds #40 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-12 Oneil Cruz #27 43 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-06 Chandler Simpson #211 11 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 Jake Mangum #189 20 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-06 Taylor Walls #179 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-06 Josh Lowe #112 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-06 Jonathan Aranda #56 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-06 Christopher Morel #48 42 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-06 Yandy Diaz #47 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-06 Junior Caminero #24 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-06 Brandon Lowe #4 48 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Nolan Schanuel #138 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Luis Rengifo #124 29 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-31 Jorge Soler #53 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Yoan Moncada #48 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Logan O'Hoppe #47 41 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-31 Zach Neto #43 48 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-31 Taylor Ward #39 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 Mike Trout #24 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 Jo Adell #22 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·

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